tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Sacramento via Honolulu: arrives on time 66%

  1. 09:44 KOA → 10:32 HNL
    AS 1037 · Alaska · 48m · 82% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 HNL → 22:09 SMF
    AS 820 · Alaska · 5h 09m · 69% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 163 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip9h 25mKOA 09:44 to SMF 22:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.