tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Seattle via Honolulu: arrives on time 54%

  1. 09:44 KOA → 10:32 HNL
    AS 1037 · Alaska · 48m · 82% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:50 HNL → 21:34 SEA
    AS 822 · Alaska · 5h 44m · 56% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip8h 50mKOA 09:44 to SEA 21:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.