tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Las Vegas via Honolulu: arrives on time 71%

  1. 09:44 KOA → 10:32 HNL
    AS 1037 · Alaska · 48m · 82% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 53m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:25 HNL → 22:10 LAS
    AS 876 · Alaska · 5h 45m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 128 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 53m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip9h 26mKOA 09:44 to LAS 22:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.