tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Sacramento via Kahului: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:19 KOA → 09:55 OGG
    AS 1039 · Alaska · 36m · 92% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:27 OGG → 19:27 SMF
    AS 960 · Alaska · 5h 00m · 73% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 08mKOA 09:19 to SMF 19:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.