tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → San Francisco via Kahului: arrives on time 78%

  1. 09:27 LIH → 10:16 OGG
    AS 1040 · Alaska · 49m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 33m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:49 OGG → 21:48 SFO
    UA 628 · United · 4h 59m · 80% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 33m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip9h 21mLIH 09:27 to SFO 21:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.