tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Phoenix via Honolulu: arrives on time 44%

  1. 09:46 LIH → 10:24 HNL
    AS 1044 · Alaska · 38m · 85% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 HNL → 20:08 PHX
    AS 836 · Alaska · 5h 58m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 22mLIH 09:46 to PHX 20:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.