tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Las Vegas via Honolulu: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:46 LIH → 10:24 HNL
    AS 1044 · Alaska · 38m · 85% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 01m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:25 HNL → 22:10 LAS
    AS 876 · Alaska · 5h 45m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 01m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip9h 24mLIH 09:46 to LAS 22:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.