tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Sacramento via Honolulu: arrives on time 67%

  1. 08:41 OGG → 09:20 HNL
    AS 1045 · Alaska · 39m · 87% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 4h 40m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 HNL → 22:09 SMF
    AS 820 · Alaska · 5h 09m · 69% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 235 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 40m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip10h 28mOGG 08:41 to SMF 22:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.