tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → San Francisco via Lihue: arrives on time 77%

  1. 12:16 OGG → 13:06 LIH
    AS 1049 · Alaska · 50m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Lihue (LIH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:43 LIH → 23:56 SFO
    AS 788 · Alaska · 5h 13m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 40mOGG 12:16 to SFO 23:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.