tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → San Diego via Honolulu: arrives on time 33%

  1. 11:14 LIH → 11:53 HNL
    AS 1054 · Alaska · 39m · 84% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:39 HNL → 21:07 SAN
    AS 816 · Alaska · 5h 28m · 68% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 53mLIH 11:14 to SAN 21:07, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.