tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Seattle via Honolulu: arrives on time 42%

  1. 11:14 LIH → 11:53 HNL
    AS 1054 · Alaska · 39m · 84% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:50 HNL → 21:34 SEA
    AS 822 · Alaska · 5h 44m · 56% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 20mLIH 11:14 to SEA 21:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.