tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 45%

  1. 09:18 OGG → 09:58 HNL
    AS 1055 · Alaska · 40m · 91% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:44 HNL → 11:26 LIH
    AS 1053 · Alaska · 42m · 85% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 2h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip2h 08mOGG 09:18 to LIH 11:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.