tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Phoenix via Honolulu: arrives on time 76%

  1. 09:18 OGG → 09:58 HNL
    AS 1055 · Alaska · 40m · 91% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 HNL → 20:08 PHX
    AS 836 · Alaska · 5h 58m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 50mOGG 09:18 to PHX 20:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.