tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 31%

  1. 10:51 KOA → 11:40 HNL
    AS 1057 · Alaska · 49m · 76% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:31 HNL → 13:15 OGG
    AS 1106 · Alaska · 44m · 70% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 2h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip2h 24mKOA 10:51 to OGG 13:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.