tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → San Jose via Honolulu: arrives on time 27%

  1. 10:51 KOA → 11:40 HNL
    AS 1057 · Alaska · 49m · 76% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:30 HNL → 20:40 SJC
    AS 1411 · Alaska · 5h 10m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 49mKOA 10:51 to SJC 20:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.