tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → San Diego via Honolulu: arrives on time 48%

  1. 10:51 KOA → 11:40 HNL
    AS 1057 · Alaska · 49m · 76% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:39 HNL → 21:07 SAN
    AS 816 · Alaska · 5h 28m · 68% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 16mKOA 10:51 to SAN 21:07, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.