tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Sacramento via Honolulu: arrives on time 65%

  1. 10:51 KOA → 11:40 HNL
    AS 1057 · Alaska · 49m · 76% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 HNL → 22:09 SMF
    AS 820 · Alaska · 5h 09m · 69% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip8h 18mKOA 10:51 to SMF 22:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.