tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hilo → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 37%

  1. 14:59 ITO → 15:55 HNL
    AS 1061 · Alaska · 56m · 80% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:43 HNL → 17:24 OGG
    AS 1156 · Alaska · 41m · 70% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 2h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip2h 25mITO 14:59 to OGG 17:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.