tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Las Vegas via Honolulu: arrives on time 32%

  1. 11:58 LIH → 12:37 HNL
    AS 1064 · Alaska · 39m · 77% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:25 HNL → 22:10 LAS
    AS 876 · Alaska · 5h 45m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 12mLIH 11:58 to LAS 22:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.