tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Sacramento via Honolulu: arrives on time 36%

  1. 12:18 KOA → 13:07 HNL
    AS 1067 · Alaska · 49m · 67% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 HNL → 22:09 SMF
    AS 820 · Alaska · 5h 09m · 69% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 51mKOA 12:18 to SMF 22:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.