tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 38%

  1. 12:55 LIH → 13:34 HNL
    AS 1074 · Alaska · 39m · 79% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:24 HNL → 15:08 OGG
    AS 1126 · Alaska · 44m · 72% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 2h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip2h 13mLIH 12:55 to OGG 15:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.