tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Seattle via Honolulu: arrives on time 41%

  1. 13:26 KOA → 14:15 HNL
    AS 1077 · Alaska · 49m · 78% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:07 HNL → 23:59 SEA
    AS 90 · Alaska · 5h 52m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 33mKOA 13:26 to SEA 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.