tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hilo → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 20%

  1. 16:47 ITO → 17:40 HNL
    AS 1081 · Alaska · 53m · 59% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:27 HNL → 19:08 OGG
    AS 1186 · Alaska · 41m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 2h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection27%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 73% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (27%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip2h 21mITO 16:47 to OGG 19:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.