tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Kailua/Kona via Honolulu: arrives on time 44%

  1. 13:43 LIH → 14:22 HNL
    AS 1084 · Alaska · 39m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:14 HNL → 16:01 KOA
    AS 1138 · Alaska · 47m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 2h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip2h 18mLIH 13:43 to KOA 16:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.