tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Kailua/Kona via Honolulu: arrives on time 26%

  1. 15:03 LIH → 15:42 HNL
    AS 1094 · Alaska · 39m · 53% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:33 HNL → 17:19 KOA
    AS 1148 · Alaska · 46m · 79% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 2h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip2h 16mLIH 15:03 to KOA 17:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.