tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Kailua/Kona via Honolulu: arrives on time 44%

  1. 10:52 OGG → 11:34 HNL
    AS 1095 · Alaska · 42m · 77% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:25 HNL → 13:13 KOA
    AS 1098 · Alaska · 48m · 74% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 2h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip2h 21mOGG 10:52 to KOA 13:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.