tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → San Jose via Honolulu: arrives on time 45%

  1. 10:52 OGG → 11:34 HNL
    AS 1095 · Alaska · 42m · 77% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:30 HNL → 20:40 SJC
    AS 1411 · Alaska · 5h 10m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 48mOGG 10:52 to SJC 20:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.