tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 48%

  1. 14:34 KOA → 15:23 HNL
    AS 1097 · Alaska · 49m · 71% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:23 HNL → 17:04 OGG
    AS 1146 · Alaska · 41m · 71% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 2h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip2h 30mKOA 14:34 to OGG 17:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.