tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Kailua/Kona via Kahului: arrives on time 24%

  1. 12:31 HNL → 13:15 OGG
    AS 1106 · Alaska · 44m · 70% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:03 OGG → 14:39 KOA
    AS 1140 · Alaska · 36m · 72% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 2h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip2h 08mHNL 12:31 to KOA 14:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.