tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 48%

  1. 16:12 LIH → 16:49 HNL
    AS 1114 · Alaska · 37m · 72% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:42 HNL → 18:23 OGG
    AS 1176 · Alaska · 41m · 82% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 2h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip2h 11mLIH 16:12 to OGG 18:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.