tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Hilo via Honolulu: arrives on time 53%

  1. 11:57 OGG → 12:40 HNL
    AS 1115 · Alaska · 43m · 83% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:31 HNL → 14:27 ITO
    AS 1062 · Alaska · 56m · 87% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 2h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip2h 30mOGG 11:57 to ITO 14:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.