tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Sacramento via Honolulu: arrives on time 63%

  1. 11:57 OGG → 12:40 HNL
    AS 1115 · Alaska · 43m · 83% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 HNL → 22:09 SMF
    AS 820 · Alaska · 5h 09m · 69% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 12mOGG 11:57 to SMF 22:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.