tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Seattle via Kahului: arrives on time 75%

  1. 13:01 HNL → 13:45 OGG
    AS 1116 · Alaska · 44m · 65% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:15 OGG → 23:59 SEA
    AS 244 · Alaska · 5h 44m · 85% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 58mHNL 13:01 to SEA 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.