tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Phoenix via Kailua/Kona: arrives on time 91%

  1. 17:02 LIH → 17:55 KOA
    AS 1120 · Alaska · 53m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Kailua/Kona (KOA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:45 KOA → 06:35 PHX +1 day
    AA 664 · American · 5h 50m · 95% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 10h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time91%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip10h 33mLIH 17:02 to PHX 06:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.