tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 56%

  1. 16:52 LIH → 17:29 HNL
    AS 1124 · Alaska · 37m · 77% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:27 HNL → 19:08 OGG
    AS 1186 · Alaska · 41m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 2h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip2h 16mLIH 16:52 to OGG 19:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.