tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Kailua/Kona via Kahului: arrives on time 19%

  1. 14:24 HNL → 15:08 OGG
    AS 1126 · Alaska · 44m · 72% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:54 OGG → 16:28 KOA
    AS 1250 · Alaska · 34m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 2h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection25%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 75% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (25%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip2h 04mHNL 14:24 to KOA 16:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.