tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 47%

  1. 16:33 KOA → 17:20 HNL
    AS 1127 · Alaska · 47m · 85% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:08 HNL → 18:49 LIH
    AS 1143 · Alaska · 41m · 75% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 2h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip2h 16mKOA 16:33 to LIH 18:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.