tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Los Angeles via Honolulu: arrives on time 75%

  1. 16:33 KOA → 17:20 HNL
    AS 1127 · Alaska · 47m · 85% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 19m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:39 HNL → 05:00 LAX +1 day
    AS 804 · Alaska · 5h 21m · 79% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 154 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 19m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip9h 27mKOA 16:33 to LAX 05:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.