tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Phoenix via Honolulu: arrives on time 84%

  1. 17:02 KOA → 17:49 HNL
    AS 1137 · Alaska · 47m · 74% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 11m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:00 HNL → 05:55 PHX +1 day
    WN 2277 · Southwest · 5h 55m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 11m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 53mKOA 17:02 to PHX 05:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.