tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → San Francisco via Lihue: arrives on time 92%

  1. 18:08 HNL → 18:49 LIH
    AS 1143 · Alaska · 41m · 75% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Lihue (LIH) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:44 LIH → 06:56 SFO +1 day
    UA 1685 · United · 5h 12m · 95% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip9h 48mHNL 18:08 to SFO 06:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.