tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 50%

  1. 17:51 KOA → 18:38 HNL
    AS 1147 · Alaska · 47m · 75% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:30 HNL → 20:12 OGG
    AS 1206 · Alaska · 42m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 2h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip2h 21mKOA 17:51 to OGG 20:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.