tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Lihue via Kahului: arrives on time 51%

  1. 12:51 KOA → 13:28 OGG
    AS 1149 · Alaska · 37m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:24 OGG → 15:13 LIH
    AS 1159 · Alaska · 49m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 2h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip2h 22mKOA 12:51 to LIH 15:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.