tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → San Jose via Kahului: arrives on time 47%

  1. 10:30 LIH → 11:19 OGG
    AS 1150 · Alaska · 49m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:07 OGG → 20:03 SJC
    AS 954 · Alaska · 4h 56m · 74% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 33mLIH 10:30 to SJC 20:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.