tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Seattle via Honolulu: arrives on time 59%

  1. 19:21 LIH → 19:58 HNL
    AS 1154 · Alaska · 37m · 78% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 HNL → 05:59 SEA +1 day
    AS 122 · Alaska · 5h 39m · 71% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 38mLIH 19:21 to SEA 05:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.