tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → San Francisco via Honolulu: arrives on time 89%

  1. 18:30 KOA → 19:17 HNL
    AS 1157 · Alaska · 47m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 53m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:10 HNL → 06:09 SFO +1 day
    UA 1346 · United · 4h 59m · 94% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 83 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 53m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip8h 39mKOA 18:30 to SFO 06:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.