tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Honolulu via Lihue: arrives on time 45%

  1. 14:24 OGG → 15:13 LIH
    AS 1159 · Alaska · 49m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Lihue (LIH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:12 LIH → 16:49 HNL
    AS 1114 · Alaska · 37m · 72% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 2h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip2h 25mOGG 14:24 to HNL 16:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.