tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → San Diego via Honolulu: arrives on time 70%

  1. 20:03 LIH → 20:40 HNL
    AS 1164 · Alaska · 37m · 78% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 HNL → 06:32 SAN +1 day
    AS 1412 · Alaska · 5h 37m · 86% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 29mLIH 20:03 to SAN 06:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.