tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 40%

  1. 17:59 OGG → 18:38 HNL
    AS 1165 · Alaska · 39m · 65% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:31 HNL → 20:13 LIH
    AS 1163 · Alaska · 42m · 83% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 2h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip2h 14mOGG 17:59 to LIH 20:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.