tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Las Vegas via Honolulu: arrives on time 78%

  1. 19:15 KOA → 20:03 HNL
    AS 1167 · Alaska · 48m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:20 HNL → 08:03 LAS +1 day
    AS 808 · Alaska · 5h 43m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 152 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip9h 48mKOA 19:15 to LAS 08:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.