tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → San Francisco via Honolulu: arrives on time 75%

  1. 19:15 KOA → 20:03 HNL
    AS 1167 · Alaska · 48m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 23m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:26 HNL → 07:31 SFO +1 day
    AS 842 · Alaska · 5h 05m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 158 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 23m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip9h 16mKOA 19:15 to SFO 07:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.